Like It Hot? Climate Outlook Suggests Warmer Than Average Temperatures For Minnesota + Wisconsin Well Into July
Summertime is definitely officially here in the Northland. While it may vary a little from day to day next to the lake, the rest of the region has seen an ample share of days in the 80s and 90s recently, and it doesn't look like that is about to end any time soon.
The most recent outlook from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center shows a notable likelihood of above-average temperatures in both their 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecast, which dates to July 19 in this current model.
The map on the left (below) shows the outlook for July 11-15, and shows a 50%-60% probability of warmer than normal temperatures for all of Wisconsin and most of Northern Minnesota, with all of the Twin Ports area included.
Meanwhile, the map on the right (below) shows most of Minnesota holding on to that 50%-60% probability of warmer than normal temperatures for July 13-19, while almost all of Wisconsin is in the 60%-70% probability of above-average temperatures during that same time frame. Duluth is, of course, right on the border of those two areas. You can view the map below in larger form here.
While the forecast seems to favor "above average" temperatures, what is "average" high temperature for this time of year? Here are some averages from NOAA:
- Silver Bay: 73 degrees
- Duluth: 75 degrees
- Two Harbors: 75 degrees
- Superior: 76 degrees
- Eveleth: 77 degrees
- Hibbing: 78 degrees
- Poplar: 78 degrees
- Ashland: 80 degrees
- Cloquet: 80 degrees
- Grand Rapids: 80 degrees
- Moose Lake: 80 Degrees
- Solon Springs: 80 degrees
Does this mean we're guaranteed hotter temperatures than those through most of the month? No. The weather models do suggest that it is probable, however.
The other part of the outlook from the Climate Prediction Center explores the precipitation outlook for the same time periods as the temperature outlooks. The precipitation outlook through July 19 shows average to below average precipitation chances, maintaining what has generally been a dry year so far for the region.